requestId:685d54f71aae29.26631001.
With the expected accuracy of the growth of the wind light machine during the 14th Five-Year Plan, it has become a must-have request to build a new power system with new power as the main body. Due to the volatility and intermittentity of wind and light resources, in fact, all parties are incompatible in strengthening peak adjustment skills. The important contradiction is how the peak adjustment ability should be set up between the power generation, network and debt side, as well as the acceptance and acceptance and transportation mechanism of the capital.
(Source: WeChat public number “River Wind Ear” Sugar daddyID: fengdianshunfenger)
Double has not reached, the peak will be adjusted first. Although affected by the increase in component prices and restrictions on access conditions, Fengguang’s new installations in the first half of the year were not as expected, compared with the signals from the center to the office, peak-regulating policies have emerged with intensive launches and peak-regulating installations to accelerate the entry of the horse.
When the pyroelectric flexibility reform, pumped storage, and electrochemical energy storage are coming, the problem that needs to be thought about is: how many peak capacity is required in the 14th Five-Year Plan? What kind of footprints should each perform in different types of peak power?
Ungraded peak demand
The demand for peaking machines is importantly determined by the growth expectation of wind-optic machines and the peak ratio.
Although the 14th Five-Year Renewable Power Plan has not been announced yet, the national plan will exceed 1 billion kilowatts by the end of 2025 and reach 1.2 billion kilowatts by 2030, which is a definite information. However, the industry generally believes that 1 billion and 1.2 billion kilowatts are more of Sugar daddy‘s internal bottom line commitments, combining the development plans of the cost reduction trend and the five-three-season two-core system, the actual growth rate will exceed the national plan.
Another internal data can also be used to support this view. According to BP statistics, the new installations of our country’s youthful youth have exceeded 20-30% of the global total since the 13th Five-Year Plan. International Power Agency (IEscortEA) released the “Global Power Industry 2050 Zero Emissions Router Picture”, predicting Sugar daddyThe global trend and photosynthetic project will add more than 1020GW each year in the next 10 years. Although this goal is more beautiful, according to the 1.2 billion kilowatt target in 2030, my country’s average annual new trend and light fixtures will only account for 6.65% of the global total in the future, which is far lower than the current share, and it is inconsistent with my country’s leading position in the renewable dynamics industry.
So, by 2025, FengguangEscort manila‘s accumulative assembly machine reaches 100-1.2 billion kW and 203Sugar baby is close to 14-1.6 billion kW in 000, which is more suitable for the public’s viewing expectations. Assuming the peak ratio is 10-20%Sugar baby‘s approaches 14-1.6 billion kW in 000, it is more suitable for the public to view. daddy estimates that the total peak adjustment required in 2025 should be between 100,000 and 240,000 yuan.
Peak adjustment does not equal energy storage
Just as photovoltaics have always had any policy that is beneficial to photovoltaic’s self-investment, and the capital market often generates errors that any policy is beneficial to batteries .
The actual peak adjustment method is far more than new energy storage, such as the reform of pyroelectric activity and the peak adjustment of the gas; energy storage is not only new energy storage, but also includes pumping storage, drying, light heating, cooling, and heat storage; even the new energy storage does not only include electrochemical energy storage, but also compresses air, flying wheels, supercapacitors, etc.
Electric side distribution energy<a The trial policy of Sugar daddy was first seen in 2019. At that time, the bureau’s important position was to promote the implementation of energy industry and the Sugar daddy. baby has developed from two angles for improved photovoltaic consumption. The types of equipment installation equipment for power generation are limited to electrochemical energy storage. Although new power companies continue to call for power generation, the request for power generation has changed from some trials to popularization in various provinces; in 2020, he was the luggage he helped to move when he entered school. He also asked for her connection.In “https://philippines-sugar.net/”>Pinay escort, provinces widely used the method of copying to set up installation electrochemical energy as one of their requests or suggestions, and the “Electric side distribution energy” gradually expanded and the “Electric side distribution battery” were used to design the upper number.
In April this year, a fire broke out at the Jimei Home Furnishing City Electric Station in Beijing, and Escort gave the continuously rising energy market a basin of cold water. Combined with the differentiation and deepening of the 3060 target, the monitoring institutions and market have gradually realized that the single-purpose energy-based energy cannot meet the peak demand of the Internet with large scale and network. Since this year, the policy positioning has gradually become clear. “Electric side distribution energy” returns to the “Electric project self-adjustment”.
In May 2021, the National Bureau of Dynamics requested in the “Notice on the Development and Construction of Winning and Photovoltaic Power Development in 2021”, “Projects that are market-oriented and networked can be implemented through market-oriented methods such as self-built, joint construction and sharing, or purchase services. Online conditions… The important online conditions include the added flexible adjustment capabilities such as pumped storage, heat-energized light-energized electricity, pyroelectric peak adjustment, new energy storage, and adjustable load. “Electrical energy storage is just one of the new energy storage and is not ranked first.
On August 10, the National Development and Reform Commission issued the “Notice on Encouraging Renewable Power Development Enterprises to Build or Buy Peak-up Targets to Increase the Scale of the Internet” again emphasized, encouraging the self-distribution of power development enterprises to promote self-distribution of power development enterprises to promote the consumption and increase the Scale of the Internet. Combined with past experience, the self-provisioning peak “suggestions” after repeated announcements can very well change Sugar daddy to “strong”; the scope of application will also be popularized from market to guaranteed network, and should be used for all new projects.
The power of the peak adjustment field
Although there are many peak adjustment methods, from the current situation, pyroelectric flexibility reform, pumped storage, and electrochemical energy storage are the three most worth waiting for in the near future.
Trop-electrical flexibility reform
According to the “Guiding Opinions on the Temperature of the Power System” issued by the National Development and Reform Commission and the Bureau of Dynamics in 2018, during the 13th Five-Year Plane, our country’s efforts to complete the 220 million kilowatt pyroelectric system flexibility reform, and the Temperature’s power system adjustment capacity was 46 million kilowatts (this is converted to the Temperature’s flexibility reform range of about 20%). According to the dynamics statistics, as of the end of 2019, the country has actually completed the turbulence-energy flexibility reform to only 58 million kilowatts..
As of the end of 2020, my country’s coal-fired installations exceeded 1 billion kilowatts. If calculated based on the 20% flexibility reform range, the peak-pressure space generated will exceed 200 million kilowatts, which has the greatest peak-pressure potential and can adapt to its development trend from the main power supply to the regulating burden.
Of course, the reform of pyroelectric flexibility should be a long-term process and cannot be achieved in the 14th and 5th period. Since this year, Hubei, Inner Mongolia, Sugar baby and other places have been launching policies in the new dynamic construction plan, encouraging the energy enterprises to change new dynamic development scales according to a ratio of 1-2.5 times through the flexibility reform, and the conversion ratio is in a downward trend. In the foreseeable future, turboelectric flexibility reform can gradually become necessary from encouragement. Under the expectation that the earlier the reform is, the more harmful it will be, the process of flexible reform is expected to accelerate. Assuming that 20-30% of the total installation machines during the 14th Five-Year Plan have completed the flexibility reform, the peak space that is released will exceed 4,000-6,000. Second-line stars will become first-line TC:
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